Morning.
I’m sure many of you have listened by now, but yesterday we did our predictions on spending and income on the Arsecast Extra. This is now a tradition for each transfer window and it’s fair to say we’re usually wide of the mark – at least in terms of income. I think spending is a little easier to predict.
I’m going to put mine here for the sake of discussion on a quiet day, if you want to listen to both of us get it wrong, listen to podcast here, or in all the usual podcast places. So, this is what I had, in no particular order.
Predicted Arsenal outgoings this summer
Nuno Tavares – £4m
Albert Sambi Lokonga – £10m
Eddie Nketiah – £15m
Emile Smith Rowe – £20m
Reiss Nelson – £5m
Kieran Tierney – £8m
Oleksandr Zinchenko – £20m
I think part of what makes it difficult to predict how much we’ll get for certain players is the fact we don’t have a track record of selling well. We have the occasional Alex Iwobi or Joe Willock, but then you look at the deal we did to sell Bernd Leno and it’s hard to understand how an international goalkeeper in his prime went for so little.
One thing to acknowledge is that selling players you don’t want in order to improve/upgrade a very good team is much different from where we were a few years ago. Not being able to get into a poor Arsenal team, or a team that is a work in progress, is not the same as being unable to get into a side that won more Premier League games than any other in the club’s history. I don’t know if a rising tide will lift all boats, but it should have an impact on the market value on some of the players listed above. And I think once you change the perception of what you’re capable of generating from sales, it’s a change that sticks, if that makes sense.
Even so, there are various factors which will define the price. Smith Rowe at £20m, for example, is about 50% cheaper than he would have been if we’d decided to sell him two years ago. Of course, why would…
Source link : https://arseblog.com/2024/06/plenty-in-the-departure-lounge-but-how-much-will-we-get/
Author : arseblog
Publish date : 2024-06-11 06:44:18
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